Here’s an article written by Perry Arnett looking at our ever-depleting oil and natty gas supply and how it will lead to the Great Die Off. Perry sees the human poplulation dwindling as low as 50 million people worldwide. Excessive? Yes. Possible? I have no idea. Some other predictions, including timelines:
1979 US per capita energy use peaked; still floundering on a plateau in 2006, but ready to fall precipitously (‘cliff’) at any time
2005 World crude oil probably peaked; still on an undulating plateau in 2007; starts off the ‘cliff’ ~2010-2012 or before
2005 World food production (grains) peaked
2008 World Natural Gas peaks (or sooner)
2010 NG ‘cliff’ arrives (or sooner)
2012 US electricity blackouts and brownouts become the norm (or sooner)
2012 US potable, available water peak and ‘cliff’; shortages and waterborne diseases increase
2015 US Health Care System in complete chaos, breakdown and failure; sanitation, drugs, return of communicable diseases, poorer nutrition, etc.
2015 World “Dieoff” begins in earnest; largely starvation, disease and poor healthcare caused
2030 US per-capita energy consumption hits the “30% mark-AFTER peak”, equaling year 1930 lifestyles again (probably much sooner than 2030)
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/AlasBabylon/message/32238
Link found via http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/BreakingNews.html